Meat Consumption Analysis: Feed And Food

Research Question

World population growing continuously, so finding the solution for feeding the growing world population becomes the major concern for many academics, entrepreneurs and food and agricultural organizations. There are foods that are highly demanded such as rice, wheat, fruits, milk etc. Meat is one the most demanded food for human feed. It is little bit used for feeding the animal mostly for cat family animals. There are following most demanded meat for human things as

1. Meat
2. Bovine Meat

• Meat, Aquatic Mammals

1. Meat, Other
2. Mutton & Goat Meat
3. Pigmeat

• Poultry Meat.

Meat is healthier food for the great source of protein. According to Delgado (2003), “The amount of meat consumed in developing countries over the past has grown three times as much as it did in the developed countries”.  Due to the rapid economic growth and globalization of food industry, amount of meat production and consumption in Eastern countries has grown exponentially (Nam, Jo & Lee (2010)). Resurreccion (2004) claim that factors like changes in distribution of meat, price and health concern are the important factor for the changing demand of meat. Chizzolini et. al. (1999) suggest that fresh meat product has low fat and cholesterol.

Research Question:

We have mainly focused on the following question:

1. What is total consumption of meat products (food)?
2. What is total consumption of meat products (feed)?

• What are the main meat production for food and feed?

1. Which countries or territory consume more meat products, meat, pig meat and poultry meat?
2. What is consumption of meat products per capita (in Kg) for the year 2013?
3. What is consumption of meat products according to the population density for the year 2013?

• What is total meat products consumption for the 2050?

Data Collection:

Data is collected from The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.  (Data Collection Website: https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#home). This organization gives the free access for the data of 245 countries and territories starting from 1961 to 2013. This data includes 115 items for feed and food whichever applicable. Feed and food can refereed as follows:

Feed : Quantity of feed available for feeding the animals and

Food : Total amount of food available for human.

We have also used population total and population density collected from https://www.worldbank.org/. We consider meat product for our study.  Following Table 1 shows the total consumption of meat feed for some selected years. From Table 1, we claim say that meat and meat other are the important item in the meat product for feeding the animal. There is 133% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013.

Table 1: Total consumption of meat (feed) (1000 tonnes) for some selected years

In the Table 2, we reported the total consumption of meat product (food) for some selected years.  We observed that meat, pig meat and poultry meat is main source of consumption of meat product according to year 2013. There is 412% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013. Meat, Pig meat and Poultry constitute the more consumption than other item.

Data Collection

Table 2: Total consumption of meat (food) (1000 tonnes) for some selected years

We consider meat and meat product for feed and meat, pig meat and poultry meat for feed. In the following Table 3, we reported first 10 countries for consumption of meat (food) for some selected years. We can observed that there is high consumption and percentage increment in consumption of meat (food) for China, mainland. Population is the main reason behind the consumption in China. United States of America is at the second place whereas Brazil at third place for the consumption for meat (food).   

Table 3: First 10 countries of consumption of meat (food) (1000 tonnes) according to year 2013

We reported first 10 countries for consumption of pig meat (food) for some selected years in Table 4. We can observed that there is high percentage increment in consumption of pig meat (food) for China, mainland. United States of America is at the second place whereas Germany at third place for the consumption for pig meat (food).   

Table 4: First 10 countries of consumption of pig meat (food) (1000 tonnes) according to year 2013

In Table 5, we reported the consumption of meat product (feed) (1000 tonnes) for some selected years for all the countries or territory where it is consumed and reported. From the data provided in Table 5, we can see that United States of America and Canada consume more meat product for feeding the animal. We can see that poultry meat is consumed in Australia as a feed for animals. (0 indicates that it is less than 1000 tonnes). 

Table 5: Consumption of meat product (feed) (1000 tonnes) for some selected years for all the countries or territory

In the following graphical representation, we have presented the meat, pig meat and poultry meat area wise obtained from IBM Watson Analytics. This dashboard are useful for viewing the consumption of meat product over the world.

From Figure 1, Figure 2 and Figure 3 we can see that consumption of meat, pig meat and poultry meat is higher in China. Darker blue shows the consumption higher whereas lighter blue shows low consumption for all Figure 1, Figure 2 and Figure 3.

In the next part, we shows consumption of meat product per capita (in kg) and consumption of meat product according to density. Figure 4 shows that Australia consume largest meat per capita in the world. Australia consume about 234.5 kg per capita per year meat.   United States of America consume about 234.5 kg per person meat in year 2013 whereas Argentina at the third place by consuming about 209 kg per person in 2013. Following Table 6 represented first 10 countries or territory according to consumption of meat product (in kg) per capita. 

Table 1: Total consumption of meat (feed) (1000 tonnes) for some selected years

Table 6: First 10 countries of consumption of meat (food) per capita (in kg) in year 2013.

In Figure 5, we shows the consumption of meat according to population density for whole world. We can see that Russian federal has highest meat consumption according to density.

Russian Federation is on the top for consumption of meat according to density with value 2439.1, United States of America at second place with value 2132 and Australia at the third place with value 1801.3.

In the Figure 6, we can observe the inequality of food consumption per capita by observing the frequency distribution of meat consumption per capita (in kg).

We can see that the distribution of consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) is right skewed suggest that there is inequality in the meat consumption per capita.

We analyzed the consumption of meat (food) per capita (in Kg) by time series analysis for the whole world. We used recent 13 years data for the analysis given in the following Table 7.

Table 6: Consumption of meat (food) per capita (in Kg) for whole world starting from year 2001 to year 2013.

One can see the trend in consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) for whole world. So we tried to fit the linear trend to the data of consumption of meat per capita (in Kg). Firstly we plot the data in Figure 6.

From the Figure 7, we say that R² of the model fitting is 98.24 which is pretty well suggest that model fitting is adequate.  We found that fitted straight line equation for the consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) is

Consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) = -1939.7 + 1.0056 × Year

From observing the slope of the fitted line we can say that as year increases consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) also increases. Each new year bring the 1.0056 Kg increment in consumption of meat. We forecasted the meat consumption per capita (in Kg) for the year 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050.

Table 7: Forecasted meat consumption per capita (in Kg)  for the year 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050

By the year 2020, world will consume 91.612 Kg per person which is increases to 121.780 Kg per person in the year 2050. This will be the combined effect of change in population and change in eating habits. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations report, world population will be 9.7 billion in the year 2050. So we need to produce 121.78 (Kg)  × 9.7 billion = 11812660 (1000 tonnes) meat products to satisfy the need of meat products consumption for the world in 2050. This will mostly include meat, pig meat and poultry meat.

Conclusion

From this study we conclude the following

1. There is 133% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013.
2. There is 412% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013. Meat, Pig meat and Poultry constitute the more consumption than other item.

• We observed that there is high consumption and percentage increment in consumption of meat (food) for China, mainland. Population is the main reason behind the consumption in China. United States of America is at the second place whereas Brazil at third place for the consumption for meat (food).

1. We observed that there is high percentage increment in consumption of pig meat (food) for China, mainland. United States of America is at the second place whereas Germany at third place for the consumption for pig meat (food).  
2. We observed that United States of America and Canada consume more meat product for feeding the animal. We can see that poultry meat is consumed in Australia as a feed for animals. (0 indicates that it is less than 1000 tonnes).
3. Australia consume about 234.5 kg per capita per year meat.   United States of America consume about 234.5 kg per person meat in year 2013 whereas Argentina at the third place by consuming about 209 kg per person in 2013.

• Russian Federation is on the top for consumption of meat according to density with value 2439.1, United States of America at second place with value 2132 and Australia at the third place with value 1801.3.
• We reported that the distribution of consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) is right skewed suggest that there is inequality in the meat consumption per capita.

1. We need to produce 121.78 (Kg)  × 9.7 billion = 11812660 (1000 tonnes) meat products to satisfy the need of meat products consumption for the world in 2050.

Recommendations for CEO:

Meat is healthier food for the great source of protein. According to Delgado (2003), “The amount of meat consumed in developing countries over the past has grown three times as much as it did in the developed countries”.  Due to the rapid economic growth and globalization of food industry, amount of meat production and consumption in Eastern countries has grown exponentially (Nam et.al (2010)). Resurreccion (2004) claim that factors like changes in distribution of meat, price and health concern are the important factor for the changing demand of meat. Chizzolini et. al. (1999) suggest that fresh meat product has low fat and cholesterol.

From above data analytics study of meat products (food and feed). Some recommendations for CEO as below:

1. We observed that meat and meat other are the important item in the meat product for feeding the animal. So we should concentrate on this meat products for feeding the animals.
2. We observed that meat, pig meat and poultry meat is main source of consumption of meat product according to year 2013. There is 412% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013. Meat, Pig meat and Poultry constitute the more consumption than other item. We need to avail the raw material for this products so that demand for this meat products will satisfied.

• We need to pay some extra attention for the countries like Australia where the consumption of meat products per capita is maximum.

1. We need to produce 121.78 (Kg)  × 9.7 billion = 11812660 (1000 tonnes) meat products to satisfy the need of meat products consumption for the world in 2050. This will mostly include meat, pig meat and poultry meat.
2. We mostly need the concentrate the production of raw materials for meat products such as pig, hens etc.
3. We need to concentrate on the quality also which gives you fresh meat products having low fatty acid and cholesterol.

• We must run the companion for the important of meat products in diet for the countries which has low consumption per capita (in kg).

• We observed that there is high consumption and percentage increment in consumption of meat (food) for China, mainland. Population is the main reason behind the consumption in China. United States of America is at the second place whereas Brazil at third place for the consumption for meat (food).
• We observed that there is high percentage increment in consumption of pig meat (food) for China, mainland. United States of America is at the second place whereas Germany at third place for the consumption for pig meat (food).  
• We observed that United States of America and Canada consume more meat product for feeding the animal. We can see that poultry meat is consumed in Australia as a feed for animals. (0 indicates that it is less than 1000 tonnes).

1. Australia consume about 234.5 kg per capita per year meat.   United States of America consume about 234.5 kg per person meat in year 2013 whereas Argentina at the third place by consuming about 209 kg per person in 2013.

• Russian Federation is on the top for consumption of meat according to density with value 2439.1, United States of America at second place with value 2132 and Australia at the third place with value 1801.3.
• We reported that the distribution of consumption of meat per capita (in Kg) is right skewed suggest that there is inequality in the meat consumption per capita.
• We need to produce 121.78 (Kg)  × 9.7 billion = 11812660 (1000 tonnes) meat products to satisfy the need of meat products consumption for the world in 2050.

Some of the recommendations based on this study are summarized as below:

1. We observed that meat and meat other are the important item in the meat product for feeding the animal. So we should concentrate on this meat products for feeding the animals.
2. We observed that meat, pig meat and poultry meat is main source of consumption of meat product according to year 2013. There is 412% increase in the consumption of meat (feed) from 1961 to 2013. Meat, Pig meat and Poultry constitute the more consumption than other item. We need to avail the raw material for this products so that demand for this meat products will satisfied.

• We need to pay some extra attention for the countries like Australia where the consumption of meat products per capita is maximum.

1. We need to produce 121.78 (Kg)  × 9.7 billion = 11812660 (1000 tonnes) meat products to satisfy the need of meat products consumption for the world in 2050. This will mostly include meat, pig meat and poultry meat.
2. We mostly need the concentrate the production of raw materials for meat products such as pig, hens etc.
3. We need to concentrate on the quality also which gives you fresh meat products having low fatty acid and cholesterol.

• We must run the companion for the important of meat products in diet for the countries which has low consumption per capita (in kg).

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