Risk Identification And Mitigation Strategies For National World Cup Games

Background Information

In the Olympic Games, both the coaches and athletes undergoes extreme mental, technical and physical transformation for competing and participating in the games. Risk during, before and after the completion of the games is considered as an unambiguous factor. The entire time period of the Olympic game is associated potential of having significant risks that can be both avoidable and unavoidable in nature. Therefore, it is essential for the Olympic team to identify and prepare for the risk that can occur during the Olympics.

In this assignment, the event of Olympic Winter 2010 for identification and evaluation of the possible risk that can occur during the game. Through the identification and evaluation of the risk, this report would able to provide recommendations for national World Cup 2018 Football Cup Management for managing, elimination and lessening the impact of various risks during the games. For the identification of the associated risk, it is essential to identify the process and procedure followed during the National World Cup Games for evaluation the potential area and time of the risks that can occur during the games. In addition to that, the risk have been analyzed in this report for providing relevant mitigation strategies.  

Based on the risk identification and analysis, the game management have been provided with recommendations for elimination the risks during the game.

Primary Recommendations 1: Most of the risks identified during the football game was associated with health and were characterized as health risk. The risks related to health can be avoided with special attention to the healthcare of the sportsmen. For overcoming and avoiding thee risks related to health, the management of “National World Cup Games” should provide special crew of healthcare specialist. The athletes and coaches should be provided with proper medical attention and care.

Secondary Recommendation:

• The health of the athletes should be regularly checked.
• Each athletes should be provided with special medical expert;
• The game venue should have 24×7 medical experts for safety reasons;
• The athletes should follow special food routine;
• Regular healthcare checkup should be followed by the athletes for ensuring their proper health during the games;

Primary Recommendations 2: Proper security needs to be provided with the athletes during the games. The athletes are often threatened by the terrorist and external attacks. Proper secuty and safety concern needs to be provided to the athletes for ensuing their security.    

Secondary Recommendations:

• The games venue needs to the secured with professional security;
• Every athletes should be accompanied by security personnel during the travels;
• Adequate security personnel needs to be allocated among the athletes;
• The gaming venue needs to be properly checked before the game;
• Proper security and access control should be ensured in and out of the gaming venue;  

Collignon et al., (2016) have defined risk appetite as the “type and amount” of risk that the management of the National World Cup Games are willing to take for success fully obtaining the objective of conducting the national football games.  The “National Football World Cup Management” needs to develop their strategic objectives for evaluating their appetite for different types of risks possible in during the game. On the other hand, the risk tolerance can be illustrated as the duration the “National Football World Cup Management” is willing to withstand the risk for fulfilling the strategic objective of the games.  For every risk the “National Football World Cup Management” needs to have a specific strategic objective that needs to be attained during the games. Furthermore, the game management needs to balance between the risk appetite and risk tolerance for lessening the negative pact from the games and the athletes.

The possible risks that has been identified from the Olympic Games 2010. The risks identified have been further characterized in to five major category based on their source and area of impact. In the above diagram, it has been depicted that there exists three health related risk namely travel sickness/ illness, infection and injuries. In the terrorism section, the identified risks include loss of life, disabilities and trauma or depression of the athletes. The athletes often came across various trauma and depression after the terrorist attack that significantly impact the performance of the athletes. In addition to that, the terrorist attacks often results in the disabilities and death of the athletes and coaches during the journey and the game events. In addition to that, the risks associated with drugs has been identified as one of the significant risks impacting the performance and completion of the gaming events. Further the use of drugs is completely prohibited from the football event. The use of drugs negatively impact the game and the athletes participating in the game. The risks associated with the drugs are identified as bad reputation and the ban and disqualification of the athletes during the game. The events occurred during the football games attract a lot of attention and creates significant lot of chaos among the views. The media often creates publicity of the events that can be both negative and positive in nature. The positive publicity is positive for the games and attracts lot of views while the negative publicity is harmful for the games and creates significant criticism of the event and athletes during and after the games.  Apart from that, the environmental condition have created several risks and issues among the athletes and coaches that creates significant risks and damage the venue area as well as the performance of the  athletes. The significant risks identified that are caused due to the pollution of the game environment and the environment of stay are defined as pressure, intense crowd, chest pain and pulmonary irritation.

Recommendations

Description of Risk Probabilities: The process of risk management is crucial for any project. The description of the risks can be characterized by two significant parameter, probability and impact. The above table determines the probability of the risks identified from the Olympic Games. The probability of the risks is used to define the occurrence likelihood of the risks during the project. Every risks identified during the project may or may not occur but has a significant potential to occur during the project. In this project, the probability of the risks have been characterized into three major level with high, medium and low range. The risks having 0 to 30% of occurrence probability has been indicated as low (3), while the risk having 31% to 69% of probability of occurrence are considered as medium (2) probability. Lastly the risk having more that 70% of occurrence probability are considered as high (1) in this project.

In the above table, all the identified risks are rated with the basis of their occurrence probability during the National football World Cup. The risks having low probability of occurrence includes Loss of life, Disabilities, Bad reputation and Disqualification/ban. The risks with medium probability includes Injury, Pulmonary irritations, Chest pain, Crowd control, Pressure, Infection, Depression and Positive and negative reporting. While the issues with high probability of occurrence is Travel sickness.

Description of Risk Consequence: The identification of the risks is two dimensional. While the probability of the risks determine the probability of occurrence, the risk consequence or risk impact is used to define the influence of the risks on the project. The above table is used for describing the impact of the risks identified in the project on the National Football Game that will be held during 2018. The impact of the risk is identified by the negative influence that the risks have on the project. The negative impact influence the cost schedule and quality of the project conducted. The risks identified have different level of impact on the project depending on the time, source and other factors. For determining the risk consequences, the risk impact has been divided into three major levels namely low, medium and high. The risks damaging 0 to 30% of schedule, budget and quality has been indicated as low (3), while the risk damaging 31% to 69% of schedule, budget and quality are considered as medium (2) probability. Lastly the risk having more that 70% of impact on schedule, budget and quality are considered as high (1) in this project.

In the above table, the risk identified from the Olympic Games are evaluated in term of level of impact. The risks having low impact in the project includes Crowd control, Depression and Positive and negative reporting. The risks having medium impact on the project includes Injury, Pulmonary irritations, Chest pain, Pressure Travel sickness, Disabilities, Bad reputation and Disqualification/ban. On the other hand, the risk having high impact on the project includes Loss of life and Infection.

Risk Appetite and Tolerance

Table 1: Risk Severity Matrix

(Source: Created By Author)

The application of the risks severity matrix allows in identifying the severity of the identified risks during the national football game 2018. The risks severity matrix allows the project manager and the management of “National Football Game” to visualize the impact and probability of the risk that can occur during the project. The above risk severity matrix has been developed based on the identified probability and impact identified corresponding the labels of the matrix.  Risk score was determined for each risks for putting in the risk severity matrix. The risks score was evaluated based on the multiplication of the impact and consequence of the risks identified in the above two tables. The risks were put in the risk severity matrix based on the multiplication of the dimensions. The development of risk severity matrix allows in identifying the risk ranking and the priority of the risks for developing the mitigation solution. In the above matrix, the Positive and negative reporting, Depression, Travel sickness and Crowd control has been evaluated as the risks with low priority and risk score 2. In addition to that, the risk having 4 risk rank includes the following Injury, Pulmonary irritations, Chest pain and Pressure. The risks obtaining risk score of 6 includes Infection, Disabilities, Bad reputation and Disqualification/ban. Lastly, the risks with maximum risk score are found to be Loss of life with highest priority.

Developing the response for the identified risks includes the elimination and reduction of the threats and the impact of the risks from the project. The effective risk management plan includes the strategy for eliminating the risk before occurrence. Based on the priority of the risks, the mitigation strategy are developed. The risks with low priority are usually eliminated from the project. The project manager has developed robust and relevant strategies of the potential risks identified for the “World Football Game 2018”.  The risk that cannot be eliminated during the project required the development of a contingency plan for lessening the impact of the risks. In addition to that, often the risk mitigation plan results in the modification of the project plan, schedule and budget initially established for completing the football game. The above table describes the particular risks and their mitigation strategy for the successful completion of the game event.  

The above risk register is developed based on the various identification, characterization, qualitative analysis and mitigation strategy developed for the project. The risk register allows the project manager, project team, and the management of the “World Football Games” to visualize and analyses the status of the risk from one single view. The risk register define whether the risk occurred from external or internal source within the project itself. Further, the trigger defined the particular event that initiates the risk in the first place. Lastly, the owner of the risk are the person for whom the risk is being caused.

While conducting the analysis for the identification and evaluation of the risks, there were various limitations as follows:

Risk Probabilities

Time Limitations: The research was conducted with limited time therefore, only the information from the Olympic games were considered for analyzing and evaluation the possible risks associated with the national football games. The limitation of the time during the risks identification and analysis has limited the author in evaluating the in-depth methodologies and risks or issues faced in other categories.

Information Limitation: During the study, the use of qualitative data was eliminated from the analysis. For the identification of the risks, the researcher has only used the information obtained from Olympic Games 2010. The information obtained has provided the relevant data that was identified, experienced and recorded in the Olympic Games. Through application of the limited information, the detailed analysis and broad evaluation of the possible risks were not possible during the study.

Budget Limitation: The research was conducted with limited budget. The presence of budget constraint in the project has led the author to provide qualitative analysis on the identified risk. The budget constrain has limited the author in applying the quantitative study on the risks identified for evaluating the mitigation strategies.  

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